Zion Williamson’s injury is even crueler twist of fate for Pelicans because of what it interrupted

Playing with Zion Williamson is not like playing with anyone else. He is a flying brick, a 6-foot-6 playmaker who rarely shoots jumpers but plows through and soars over defenders. He throws down thunderous dunks, has a feathery touch and does not fit anywhere on the conventional positional spectrum.

“I almost relate him to KAT, a reverse KAT,” Larry Nance Jr., Williamson’s teammate with the New Orleans Pelicans, said last month, referencing Minnesota Timberwolves big man Karl-Anthony Towns. “Karl’s a ‘5’ but really plays as a 4, whereas Z is a ‘4’ but really plays as a ballhandling 5.”

In recent years, NBA coaches have instructed players to set ball screens higher and higher, sometimes even close to halfcourt, in an effort to stretch the defense out and give ballhandlers more space. When Williamson has the ball, however, it is not unusual to see Nance or Jonas Valanciunas set screens around the free throw line or in the paint. This isn’t because the Pelicans have been watching old instructional videos; it is because their opponents often back off of Williamson and go under against his pick-and-rolls.

“I mean, the play is to screen for him at the 3-point line,” Nance said. “But I tell you what, if you’re going to get that deep under screens, you’re always taught, ‘Get a hit, hit the defender wherever he’s at.’ So if he’s high, screen him high. If he’s low, you gotta go as low as you can to get him.”

Nance has “set screens for Z at the block,” he said, and seen Williamson immediately go up for a hook shot or explode to the basket.

“If that’s how you want to guard it, fantastic,” Nance said. “I would love him to operate in that space.”

On Tuesday, in the fourth quarter of a play-in game against the Los Angeles Lakers, Nance screened LeBron James, Williamson’s man, at the elbow, and Williamson burst past Anthony Davis for a layup. This sparked a 13-2 run that tied the game. After a Davis putback and a New Orleans timeout, Nance set a ball screen for Williamson at the opposite elbow, forcing a switch. Williamson went right at Davis, got into the paint and tied it up again, giving him 40 points (on 17-for-27 shooting) in the first postseason game of his career.

It was immediately clear that, as far as signature performances go, this topped Williamson’s spectacular two-way showing against the Phoenix Suns a week prior. Two days removed from this same Lakers limiting him to 12 points on 4-for-13 shooting in an ugly regular-season finale, Williamson was carrying the Pelicans when they needed it the most. Neither CJ McCollum, who had ended the season on a heater, nor Brandon Ingram, who had just returned from a knee injury, had caught a rhythm offensively against Los Angeles. The entire run happened with Jose Alvarado, Herb Jones, Trey Murphy III and Nance on the floor next to Williamson, the unquestioned star of the show.

After Williamson’s shot went in, though, he grimaced and motioned toward New Orleans’ bench. Los Angeles called a timeout, and Williamson walked straight to the locker room. The Pelicans kept fighting for the final three minutes, but lost 110-106, setting up an elimination game against the Sacramento Kings on Friday with a playoff spot on the line. Williamson won’t play in that game, and if they win, he’ll miss the start of the playoffs, too; the team announced Wednesday that he strained his left hamstring and will be reevaluated in about two weeks.

The timing is brutal. New Orleans might not have been playing on Tuesday if not for injuries — the team was a half-game out of fourth place before Ingram hyperextended his knee less than a month ago, a blow that was compounded by Alvarado missing five games with a right oblique strain and Williamson missing one game (and part of another) with a finger injury. Instead of preparing for Williamson’s playoff series, though, the Pelicans now face the possibility of missing the playoffs altogether. They have more than enough talent to be competitive without their franchise player, but opposing teams won’t have to worry about those low screens leading to lefty layups. Without Williamson bulldozing people, they are conventional.

If this is an even bigger buzzkill than any of Williamson’s previous injuries, it is because of what it interrupted. Williamson was not only making the absolute most of the stage he had that night, he had been showing for months that he — and, by extension, New Orleans — had gotten serious. He was in the best shape of his career, playing the best defense of his career and leading a deep and exciting team that was doing everything it could to make its pieces fit. For a player who had put in the work to be able to play heavy minutes of high-intensity basketball, getting hurt in his 37th minute was a cruel twist of fate.

If you are the particularly pessimistic sort, you can frame the injury as a total catastrophe: The Pelicans didn’t profile as a championship contender with Williamson, and, if they don’t get the chance to go through a playoff series with him, it’ll make it more difficult for them to become one. The front office will be robbed of the opportunity to see what issues need to be addressed to be more playoff-ready next season, and Williamson will continue to be seen as inherently injury-prone. Whether New Orleans makes minor tweaks (i.e. some talent consolidation around the edges) or major changes (i.e. moving Ingram or McCollum) to the roster this summer, it will be doing so from a position of relative weakness, rather than strength.

There is, however, a glass-half-full view of the situation: Williamson has just shown the world what he can do when he’s fully committed, and it’s surely better to have given everybody this glimpse of greatness and suffered a setback than to never have ascended to such heights in the first place. This injury does not erase the immense progress that Williamson has made, nor does it mean that executive vice president David Griffin can’t come away from the season with tons of ideas about how to build around him. As much of a bummer as it is, the team is still fairly young, a work in progress and unlikely to win a championship in the short term anyway. Whether Williamson is back in a couple weeks or at the beginning of training camp, he and the Pelicans should only be hungrier for it.

Prediction, TV channel, live stream, how to watch NBA Play-In Tournament online, odds, time

The Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat will face off on Wednesday with a chance at the No. 7 seed in the East playoffs on the line. The Sixers got here after a season that can really be defined by two halves: with and without Joel Embiid. Before Embiid went down with a meniscus that sidelined him for two months, the Sixers had the third-best net rating in the league, and Embiid was a frontrunner for MVP. Things quickly changed after he was sidelined, and as a result, the Sixers tumbled down the standings.

For the Heat, the season has also been filled with injuries to Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and standout rookie Jaime Jaquez Jr., as well as a trade that sent Kyle Lowry to the Hornets — eventually, he joined the Sixers — while Miami got Terry Rozier from Charlotte. While Miami hasn’t been dominant, they enter the play-in with one of the best defensive units since the All-Star break.

It’ll be an intriguing matchup between the Sixers and Heat, so here’s what you need to know ahead of the first Eastern Conference Play-In game.

76ers vs. Heat
Date: Wednesday, April 17 | Time: 7 p.m. ET
Location: Wells Fargo Center — Philadelphia
TV channel: ESPN | Live stream: fubo (try for free)
Odds: Sixers -4.5; O/U 207.5
Storylines
Sixers: Embiid is back, and while he missed Philly’s regular-season finale for precautionary reasons, he did tweak the knee he had surgery on in the Sixers’ second-to-last game of the season. I doubt he doesn’t play for the Sixers, given its importance, but it should be at least somewhat concerning. But if Embiid’s knee isn’t bothering him, he’ll be unstoppable against the Heat. Bam Adebayo offers a solid option to defend Embiid, but even he won’t be able to stop the Philly big man from getting his points and, more importantly, getting to the free-throw line. Having Embiid back also opens things up for Tyrese Maxey, who can operate with more space and less defensive attention.

Heat: It’s going to be a tall task for Miami to knock off the Sixers, who will be playing at home. Not to mention the fact that Miami’s offense can’t be relied upon to score a ton of points. We’ve seen in the past how the Heat can get hot and outshoot pretty much anyone, but as it stands, they rank 21st in the league on offense. While their defense will keep them in this game, if others outside of Butler and Adebayo can’t produce, it’ll be tough to overpower the Sixers.

Prediction
If Embiid is healthy, the Sixers should be heavily favored here. I don’t see how the Heat stop him, and the Sixers’ supporting cast feels more reliable than the Heat’s. The Pick: Sixers -4.5

2024 NBA Play-In Tournament picks, April 17 best bets by proven model

The Chicago Bulls and the Atlanta Hawks link up in a 9 vs. 10 battle in the 2024 NBA Play-In Tournament on Wednesday. These teams matched up three times in the regular season, and Chicago won the series 2-1. However, on April 1, the Hawks topped the Bulls 113-101. The winner of this battle moves on to face off against the Philadelphia 76ers or Miami Heat to determine who gets the eighth seed in the East. Jalen Johnson (ankle) and Onyeka Okongwu (toe) are out for Atlanta, while Ayo Dosunmu (quad) and Andre Drummond (ankle) are listed as questionable for Chicago.

Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at United Center in Chicago. The Bulls are 3-point favorites in the latest Hawks vs. Bulls odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 223. Before making any Bulls vs. Hawks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 88-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bulls vs. Hawks and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Hawks vs. Bulls:

Hawks vs. Bulls spread: Bulls -3
Hawks vs. Bulls over/under: 223 points
Hawks vs. Bulls money line: Chicago -152, Atlanta +127
CHI: Has hit the team total Over in 31 of its last 45 games
ATL: Has hit the 4Q Under in 33 of its last 48 games
Hawks vs. Bulls picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Bulls can cover
Guard Coby White is an agile and shifty ball handler who does a great job at creating space for his shots. The UNC product averages 19.1 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game. He’s scored 20-plus points in three of his last four outings, and in a Sunday loss to the Knicks, White finished with 26 points and four assists.

Guard Alex Caruso plays with relentless energy on both ends of the floor. Caruso does a lot of the dirty work and fights for any loose ball. The Texas A&M product is at his best when he’s attacking the paint offensively. He logs 10.1 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. On Sunday, Caruso tallied 15 points, eight assists, and five steals. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Hawks can cover
Guard Dejounte Murray excels attacking downhill and getting into the paint. Murray has the bounce to soar high and power to finish through contact in the paint. He logs 22.5 points, 5.3 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest. Murray also averages 1.4 steals and shoots 36% from beyond the arc. In his last matchup, the Washington product tallied 32 points, three assists and made four threes.

Guard Bogdan Bogdanovic is a versatile playmaker in the backcourt. Bogdanovic owns a pure jumper to space out the floor and will put the ball on the floor when needed. The 31-year-old puts up 16.9 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game. Additionally, he shoots 37% from 3-point land. On April 10 against the Hornets, Bogdanovic notched 19 points and eight assists. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Hawks vs. Bulls picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 219 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time. You can only get the model’s picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Bulls vs. Hawks, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that’s 88-58 on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.